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Wednesday 13 June 2012

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June 14-17, 2012
Olympic Club, San Francisco, California

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Call it the perfect storm. A string of eight consecutive first-time major champions and a golf course known for favoring the underdog.

Will we have another breakthrough win in the U.S. Open at The Olympic Club? We’ll see. But if there is to be a first-time winner, PGATOUR.COM’s panel of experts have their opinions and offer them below. You can add yours in the comments section, too.

Fred Albers, PGA TOUR Radio on Sirius/XM

Justin Rose: Everything about this player screams major championship. He has both length and accuracy. Rose is 21st on TOUR in fairways hit and is third in greens in regulation. Putting has held him back where his strokes gained putting is 121st on TOUR but the Olympic Club is not going to give up many birdies, so pars may be good enough to win. Rose already has one win this year and five top-10 finishes. He will celebrate Father’s Day with his first major victory.

Two others to consider

Lee Westwood: The key to winning a major is giving yourself plenty of opportunities, and time and again, Westwood has done that — to no avail. He leads the TOUR in GIR at astounding 74 percent. Plus, he’s made 100 birdies in 24 rounds this year.

Aaron Baddeley: The Olympic Club seems to serve up heartbreak and upsets. So why not Aaron Baddeley? He’s a salty second on TOUR in strokes gained putting and when you can roll the rock you always have a chance.

Mike McAllister, PGATOUR.COM Managing Editor

Jason Dufner: Having covered the two events in North Texas last month, I’ve jumped fully on board the Dufner bandwagon. His accuracy ranks him among the best on the PGA TOUR, and his low-key demeanor should serve him well in pressure-packed situations at any major. Sure, he could stand to tighten up his putting a little, but it’s hardly been a detriment for him lately. Dufner could very well already own a major title, having let the PGA Championship slip away last year. He hasn’t been haunted by that result; in fact, he seems driven by it. Maybe he gets redemption this week.

Two others to consider

Lee Westwood: The proverbial best player without a major. He finished tied for third at Congressional a year ago. If he just keeps putting himself in position …

Justin Rose: He’s playing well — six top-10s, including a win at the World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship in his last nine starts. And he’ll win a major at some point.

Helen Ross, PGATOUR.COM Chief of Correspondents

Luke Donald: The steady Englishman has already won twice this year, once on each side of the Atlantic, and has become increasingly comfortable at No. 1 in the world. He hasn’t had a great deal of success in majors, though, with six total top-10 finishes. Interestingly, Donald has never had one at the U.S. Open where his solid fairways-and-greens game might be expected to play well. His consistent short game — Donald ranks third in strokes gained putting — should be even more of an asset at Olympic, which will yield birdies grudgingly.

Two others to consider

Lee Westwood: He’s had 11 top-10 finishes in majors, including seven in his last 10 starts. The odds are certainly with him, and he’s certainly one of those players who deserves one.

Dustin Johnson: Not sure if Olympic is the course for him, but the lanky South Carolinian certainly has all the tools. He nearly won the 2010 PGA and tied for second in last year’s British Open.

Brian Wacker, PGATOUR.COM Producer

Rickie Fowler. Forget the 84 in the final round at Muirfield Village. He’s playing the best golf of his career right now and has already gotten the first win out of the way, so he doesn’t have the added annoyance of being asked when he’s going to win. Just as important, he has all the shots. He can work the ball both ways and has the creativity that will be needed around Olympic Club, where half the holes are doglegs. Fowler also grew up in California and as we’ve seen in the past (Tiger Woods, Johnny Miller, etc.) that certainly doesn’t hurt when it comes to playing the national championship on the left coast. The only thing that scares me about Fowler is his aggressiveness with the putter. Being too aggressive on U.S. Open greens can be deadly.

Two others to consider

Matt Kuchar. He drives it straight, hits a lot of greens and leads the TOUR in scoring average. He also got a taste of being in contention at a major earlier this year at the Masters.

Hunter Mahan. I’ve been banging the Mahan drum for a while now. No one drives it better and there’s not much else he doesn’t do well — even his scrambling has improved significantly.